On a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, NODX declined by 4.6 per cent in May 2013, following the 1.0 per cent decrease in the previous month, due to a contraction in electronic NODX which outweighed the rise in non-electronic domestic exports.
On a y-o-y basis, NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except China, Thailand, Hong Kong and Taiwan, decreased in May 2013. The top three contributors to the NODX contraction in May 2013 were South Korea, Malaysia and Indonesia.
On a y-o-y basis, NORX expanded by 19.1 per cent in May 2013, after the 16.0 per cent increase in the previous month, due to both electronic and non-electronic NORX.
(I) Overall Trend
1.
On a y-o-y basis, NODX contracted by 4.6 per cent in May 2013, following the 1.0 per cent decrease in the previous month. On a 3-month moving average (3MMA) y-o-y basis, NODX declined by 3.5 per cent in May 2013, after the 12.8 per cent contraction in the previous month.
2.
On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted (m-o-m SA) basis, NODX declined by 1.1 per cent in May 2013, compared to the previous month’s 1.1 per cent expansion, due to both electronic and non-electronic NODX. On a SA basis, the level of NODX reached S$14.3 billion in May 2013, lower than the S$14.4 billion registered in the previous month.
3.
On a SA basis, non-oil retained imports of intermediate goods2 (NORI) grew by S$0.6 billion from S$4.6 billion in the previous month to reach S$5.2 billion in May 2013.
(II) Commentaries
(a)
Performance of Key Trade Components
Total Trade
4.
On a y-o-y basis, total trade contracted by 1.4 per cent in May 2013, in contrast to the 1.9 per cent increase in the previous month. Total exports grew by 1.6 per cent in May 2013, following the 1.3 per cent expansion in the previous month. Total imports decreased by 4.5 per cent in May 2013, compared to the 2.4 per cent rise in the preceding month.
5.
On a m-o-m SA basis, total trade contracted by a marginal 0.1 per cent in May 2013, in contrast to the 8.1 per cent increase in the previous month. On a SA basis, the level of total trade reached S$83.1 billion in May 2013, lower than the previous month’s achievement of S$83.2 billion. Total exports rose by a marginal 0.3 per cent in May 2013, following the 6.7 per cent expansion in the previous month. Total imports declined by a marginal 0.5 per cent in May 2013, compared to the 9.7 per cent increase in the previous month.
Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX)
6.
On a y-o-y basis, NODX declined by 4.6 per cent in May 2013, following the 1.0 per cent contraction in the previous month, due to a decrease in electronic domestic exports which outweighed the rise in non-electronic domestic exports.
7.
Electronic products. On a y-o-y basis, electronic NODX contracted by 13.2 per cent in May 2013, after the 9.0 per cent decline in the previous month. The decrease in electronic domestic exports was largely due to parts of PCs (-31.6 per cent), disk media products (-40.8 per cent) and ICs (-9.5 per cent).
8.
Non-electronic products. On a y-o-y basis, non-electronic NODX expanded by a marginal 0.2 per cent in May 2013, following the 3.3 per cent increase in the previous month. The rise in non-electronic NODX was led by pharmaceuticals (+19.9 per cent), printed matter (+108.8 per cent) and food preparations (+52.9 per cent).
Oil Domestic Exports
9.
On a y-o-y basis, oil domestic exports decreased by 20.6 per cent in May 2013, after the preceding month’s 8.9 per cent contraction. The y-o-y decline of oil domestic exports was mainly due to lower sales to Malaysia (-21.4 per cent), Hong Kong (-36.5 per cent) and China (-34.2 per cent). In volume terms, oil domestic exports decreased by 12.0 per cent in May 2013, compared to the 6.9 per cent expansion in the previous month. On a m-o-m SA basis, oil domestic exports declined by 9.8 per cent in May 2013, following a marginal contraction of 0.8 per cent in the previous month.
Non-oil Re-exports (NORX)
10.
On a y-o-y basis, NORX grew by 19.13 per cent in May 2013, after the 16.0 per cent expansion in the previous month, due to both electronic and non-electronic NORX. On a 3MMA y-o-y basis, NORX rose by 10.8 per cent in May 2013, in contrast to a marginal 0.2 per cent contraction in the preceding month.
11.
On a m-o-m SA basis, NORX increased by 4.9 per cent in May 2013, following the 13.2 per cent rise in the previous month due to an expansion in non-electronic NORX which outweighed the decrease in electronic NORX. On a SA basis, the level of NORX reached S$20.0 billion in May 2013, higher than the S$19.1 billion registered in the preceding month.
12.
On a y-o-y basis, electronic NORX rose by 16.9 per cent in May 2013, following the 22.9 per cent rise in the previous month. The expansion in electronic NORX was due to ICs (+26.1 per cent), parts of ICs (+76.3 per cent) and telecommunications equipment (+21.1 per cent).
13.
On a y-o-y basis, non-electronic NORX expanded by 21.3 per cent in May 2013, after the 9.5 per cent increase in the previous month. The rise in non-electronic NORX was due to structures of ships & boats, personal beauty products (+99.1 per cent) and piston engines (+30.2 per cent).
14.
NORX to all of the top 10 NORX markets, except Indonesia, increased in May 2013. The top three contributors to the NORX rise in May 2013 were South Korea (+38.4 per cent), Hong Kong (+14.5 per cent) and China (+14.7 per cent).
On a y-o-y basis, NODX to all of the top 10 NODX markets, except China, Thailand, Hong Kong and Taiwan, decreased in May 2013. The top three contributors to the NODX contraction in May 2013 were South Korea, Malaysia and Indonesia.
16.
NODX to the South Korea declined by 41.1 per cent in May 2013, following the previous month’s decrease of 27.1 per cent, led by parts of motor vehicles & tractors (-99.9 per cent), ICs (-44.3 per cent) and parts of PCs (-87.5 per cent). NODX to Malaysia contracted by 20.4 per cent in May 2013, after the 13.7 per cent decline in the preceding month, due to ICs (-42.4 per cent), non-monetary gold (-55.4 per cent) and parts of PCs (-36.2 per cent). NODX to Indonesia decreased by 19.7 per cent in May 2013, following the 4.3 per cent decrease in the previous month, due to capacitors (-86.4 per cent), telecommunications equipment (-89.1 per cent) and petrochemicals (-16.8 per cent).
17.
Emerging markets5 - NODX to emerging markets decreased by 3.9 per cent in May 2013, in contrast to the 6.2 per cent expansion in the previous month. The decline in NODX to the emerging markets was due mainly to South Asia, the Caribbean and the Middle East.
1 Definitions for certain product categories have been revised for reports containing data from July 2010 onwards. The revised definitions follow international guidelines. All top products/countries which are stated to have contributed towards the changes in trade figures are ranked by absolute change in level and not change in percentage.
2 NORI is a coincident indicator for NODX. 3 Highest y-o-y growth since August 2010 4 All growth rates quoted in the following analysis refer to year-on-year growth rates unless otherwise stated. 5 Consisting of the Caribbean, Central Asia, CLMV( Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam), Eastern & Southern Europe (non-EU), Latin America, the Middle East, South Asia and South Africa; the list of emerging markets has been updated
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